Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

362.7 – 352.87

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

675 – 358

Prediction correct · off by 158.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 876.1 ±8.8

2481Roboteers

Season APEX 378Event APEX 92.98Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 126.86Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4270Crusaders

Season APEX 223.8Event APEX 142.86Rank 22Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 642.5 ±9.9

10604Demirören Robotics

Season APEX 124.4Event APEX 76.65Rank 74Record 0-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4795Eastbots

Season APEX 233.1Event APEX 140.57Rank 17Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7426PAIR OF DICE ROBOTICS

Season APEX 285Event APEX 135.65Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2481, 7457, 4270

/ 100 compat

Projected

362.7 pts

~1.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 2481, 7457, 4270

Auto

75.6 22%

Teleop

202.7 58%

Endgame

71.1 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 31%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10604, 4795, 7426

/ 100 compat

Projected

352.9 pts

~1.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 10604, 4795, 7426

Auto

58.3 16%

Teleop

200.4 56%

Endgame

99.3 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 31%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.95 · Blue 1.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score362.7pts

Blue projected score352.9pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 31%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 9.8
Score range: 283–433
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1033 vs event baseline 386.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

876.1Season APEX642.5

75.6Auto58.3

202.7Teleop200.4

71.1Endgame99.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	120	66
teleop	442	182
endgame	108	95
foul	5	15
total	675	358

Result

Final score

675 – 358

Prediction correct · off by 158.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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