Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

311.67 – 284.54

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

553 – 320

Prediction correct · off by 138.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 809.3 ±10.7

9635Cyber Rabbit

Season APEX 289.5Event APEX -Rank 32Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

2122Team Tators

Season APEX 289.6Event APEX 123.14Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 123.71Rank 23Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 596.4 ±9.8

1671Buchanan Bird Brains

Season APEX 267.1Event APEX 64.29Rank 37Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8020CyberpunK

Season APEX 157.5Event APEX 155.43Rank 55Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8873Rockefeller Robotics

Season APEX 171.8Event APEX -Rank 44Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9635, 2122, 2974

/ 100 compat

Projected

311.7 pts

~2.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 9635, 2122, 2974

Auto

93.2 30%

Teleop

160.1 52%

Endgame

54.1 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1671, 8020, 8873

/ 100 compat

Projected

284.5 pts

~1.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 1671, 8020, 8873

Auto

40.3 14%

Teleop

174.1 62%

Endgame

67.2 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.07 · Blue 1.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score311.7pts

Blue projected score284.5pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 21%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 27.1
Score range: 215–382
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 873 vs event baseline 388.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

809.3Season APEX596.4

73.7Auto20.9

127.7Teleop141.7

41.1Endgame54.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	104	23
teleop	270	182
endgame	169	115
foul	10	0
total	553	320

Result

Final score

553 – 320

Prediction correct · off by 138.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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