Qualification · Qualification 12
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
198.73 – 198.73
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
366 – 224
Prediction correct · off by 96.3 points
Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 630.7 ±9.8
Season APEX 237.4Event APEX -Rank 18Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 276.3Event APEX -Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 117Event APEX -Rank 71Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 583.7 ±9.8
Season APEX 208.5Event APEX -Rank 51Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 153.4Event APEX -Rank 67Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 221.8Event APEX -Rank 45Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4905, 1771, 2169
50
/ 100 compatProjected
198.7 pts
~1.5 RP (championship)
Teams: 4905, 1771, 2169
Auto
59.6 30%
Teleop
99.4 50%
Endgame
39.7 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 70, 3419, 4421
50
/ 100 compatProjected
198.7 pts
~1.5 RP (championship)
Teams: 70, 3419, 4421
Auto
59.6 30%
Teleop
99.4 50%
Endgame
39.7 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.49
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score198.7pts
Blue projected score198.7pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample278alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 40%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 127–271
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
630.7Season APEX583.7
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 86 | 45 |
| teleop | 218 | 133 |
| endgame | 32 | 46 |
| foul | 30 | 0 |
| total | 366 | 224 |
Result
Final score
366 – 224
Prediction correct · off by 96.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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