Qualification · Qualification 114

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

351.02 – 453.91

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

540 – 602

Prediction correct · off by 168.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 624.8 ±9.8

8808SWLA Tech Pirates

Season APEX 223.6Event APEX 81.84Rank 58Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3707TechnoDogs

Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 185.19Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3277ProDigi

Season APEX 160.5Event APEX 83.99Rank 50Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 728.4 ±8.2

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX 44.79Rank 38Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

359Hawaiian Kids

Season APEX 268.2Event APEX 202.26Rank 14Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 206.86Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8808, 3707, 3277

/ 100 compat

Projected

351 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 8808, 3707, 3277

Auto

64.9 19%

Teleop

184.2 53%

Endgame

95.2 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3492, 359, 7457

/ 100 compat

Projected

453.9 pts

~2.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 3492, 359, 7457

Auto

88.2 20%

Teleop

237.9 54%

Endgame

115.4 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.07 · Blue 2.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score351pts

Blue projected score453.9pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -102.9
Score range: 281–524
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1142 vs event baseline 387.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

624.8Season APEX728.4

64.9Auto88.2

184.2Teleop237.9

95.2Endgame115.4

134Consistency142

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	83	139
teleop	245	361
endgame	202	87
foul	10	15
total	540	602

Result

Final score

540 – 602

Prediction correct · off by 168.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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