Qualification · Qualification 112

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

185.86 – 284.3

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

44 – 234

Prediction correct · off by 96.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 491.4 ±11.4

7890SeQuEnCe

Season APEX 178.1Event APEX 116.22Rank 52Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7717Steam Punks

Season APEX 190.2Event APEX 28.71Rank 57Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

7763Carrborobotics

Season APEX 123.1Event APEX 40.93Rank 65Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 566.1 ±9.8

4795Eastbots

Season APEX 233.1Event APEX 124.52Rank 17Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8020CyberpunK

Season APEX 157.5Event APEX 98.67Rank 55Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2403Plasma Robotics

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 61.11Rank 61Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7890, 7717, 7763

/ 100 compat

Projected

185.9 pts

~1.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 7890, 7717, 7763

Auto

39.9 22%

Teleop

85.6 47%

Endgame

55.8 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4795, 8020, 2403

/ 100 compat

Projected

284.3 pts

~2.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 4795, 8020, 2403

Auto

74.2 27%

Teleop

131.6 47%

Endgame

72.7 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.03 · Blue 2.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score185.9pts

Blue projected score284.3pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -98.4
Score range: 116–354
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 278 vs event baseline 390.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

491.4Season APEX566.1

39.9Auto74.2

85.6Teleop131.6

55.8Endgame72.7

135Consistency120

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	71
teleop	5	101
endgame	0	62
foul	0	0
total	44	234

Result

Final score

44 – 234

Prediction correct · off by 96.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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