Qualification · Qualification 11
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
197.7 – 197.7
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
325 – 511
Prediction missed · off by 220.3 points
Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 599 ±11.7
Season APEX 160.6Event APEX -Rank 68Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 175.6Event APEX -Rank 43Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 262.8Event APEX -Rank 26Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 793.7 ±9.3
Season APEX 210Event APEX -Rank 34Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 298.7Event APEX -Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 285Event APEX -Rank 12Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11065, 263, 4915
50
/ 100 compatProjected
197.7 pts
~1.5 RP (championship)
Teams: 11065, 263, 4915
Auto
59.3 30%
Teleop
98.9 50%
Endgame
39.5 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2846, 6090, 6238
50
/ 100 compatProjected
197.7 pts
~1.9 RP (championship)
Teams: 2846, 6090, 6238
Auto
59.3 30%
Teleop
98.9 50%
Endgame
39.5 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.52 · Blue 1.9
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score197.7pts
Blue projected score197.7pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample278alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 66%
Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 22%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 127–269
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
599Season APEX793.7
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 100 |
| teleop | 201 | 256 |
| endgame | 88 | 150 |
| foul | 15 | 5 |
| total | 325 | 511 |
Result
Final score
325 – 511
Prediction missed · off by 220.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.