Qualification · Qualification 108

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

422.07 – 566.75

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

286 – 471

Prediction correct · off by 115.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 654.5 ±9.9

70More Martians

Season APEX 208.5Event APEX 128.04Rank 51Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

353POBots

Season APEX 169.7Event APEX 97.94Rank 33Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1771North Gwinnett Robotics

Season APEX 276.3Event APEX 196.09Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 818.8 ±10.2

2200BCR Blackout

Season APEX 262Event APEX 219.28Rank 20Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9635Cyber Rabbit

Season APEX 289.5Event APEX 132.9Rank 32Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 214.57Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 70, 353, 1771

/ 100 compat

Projected

422.1 pts

~0.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 70, 353, 1771

Auto

99.8 24%

Teleop

234.9 57%

Endgame

78.9 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2200, 9635, 6002

/ 100 compat

Projected

566.8 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 2200, 9635, 6002

Auto

134.4 25%

Teleop

296.5 55%

Endgame

113.0 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.91 · Blue 2.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score422.1pts

Blue projected score566.8pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -144.7
Score range: 352–637
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 757 vs event baseline 388.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

654.5Season APEX818.8

99.8Auto134.4

234.9Teleop296.5

78.9Endgame113

123Consistency115

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	115	119
teleop	100	228
endgame	71	124
foul	0	0
total	286	471

Result

Final score

286 – 471

Prediction correct · off by 115.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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