Qualification · Qualification 106

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

446.81 – 363.29

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

431 – 414

Prediction correct · off by 33.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 766.7 ±9.3

6238Popcorn Penguins

Season APEX 285Event APEX 159.46Rank 12Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4122Ossining OBOTS

Season APEX 233.2Event APEX 111.32Rank 49Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

201The FEDS

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 176.03Rank 11Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 615.4 ±8.8

8429Valence Robotics

Season APEX 186.7Event APEX 85.1Rank 42Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

359Hawaiian Kids

Season APEX 268.2Event APEX 200.04Rank 14Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3277ProDigi

Season APEX 160.5Event APEX 78.15Rank 50Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6238, 4122, 201

/ 100 compat

Projected

446.8 pts

~2.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 6238, 4122, 201

Auto

84.8 20%

Teleop

223.0 52%

Endgame

118.0 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8429, 359, 3277

/ 100 compat

Projected

363.3 pts

~1.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 8429, 359, 3277

Auto

69.4 20%

Teleop

172.6 49%

Endgame

107.5 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.26 · Blue 1.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score446.8pts

Blue projected score363.3pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 83.5
Score range: 293–517
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 845 vs event baseline 386.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

766.7Season APEX615.4

84.8Auto69.4

223Teleop172.6

118Endgame107.5

114Consistency130

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	116	72
teleop	219	202
endgame	91	140
foul	5	0
total	431	414

Result

Final score

431 – 414

Prediction correct · off by 33.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.