Qualification · Qualification 105

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

479.76 – 370

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

374 – 350

Prediction correct · off by 62.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 706.5 ±8.7

6090Wayland Wildcats

A+

Season APEX 298.7Event APEX 216.35Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4907Thunderstamps

Season APEX 210.5Event APEX 145.17Rank 40Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10633BeeBotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 118.24Rank 62Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 653 ±9.5

4476W.A.F.F.L.E.S.

Season APEX 284.5Event APEX 215.46Rank 29Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2601Steel Hawks

Season APEX 217.2Event APEX 124.31Rank 56Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2811StormBots

Season APEX 151.3Event APEX 30.23Rank 69Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6090, 4907, 10633

/ 100 compat

Projected

479.8 pts

~2.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 6090, 4907, 10633

Auto

84.0 18%

Teleop

244.8 52%

Endgame

141.5 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 4476, 2601, 2811

/ 100 compat

Projected

370 pts

~0.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 4476, 2601, 2811

Auto

59.3 16%

Teleop

202.2 56%

Endgame

100.6 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.16 · Blue 0.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score479.8pts

Blue projected score370pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 109.8
Score range: 300–550
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 724 vs event baseline 386.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

706.5Season APEX653

84Auto59.3

244.8Teleop202.2

141.5Endgame100.6

161Consistency89

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	119	95
teleop	160	168
endgame	95	87
foul	0	0
total	374	350

Result

Final score

374 – 350

Prediction correct · off by 62.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.