Qualification · Qualification 104

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

368.21 – 419.99

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

595 – 463

Prediction missed · off by 134.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 687.6 ±8.7

7250OsCODEa 0w|5

Season APEX 214.7Event APEX 98.91Rank 41Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8873Rockefeller Robotics

Season APEX 171.8Event APEX 71.32Rank 44Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4499The Highlanders

A+

Season APEX 301.1Event APEX 197.98Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 730.8 ±11.4

4481Team Rembrandts

A+

Season APEX 299.9Event APEX 215.96Rank 21Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3707TechnoDogs

Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 179.65Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7717Steam Punks

Season APEX 190.2Event APEX 24.38Rank 57Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7250, 8873, 4499

/ 100 compat

Projected

368.2 pts

~1.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 7250, 8873, 4499

Auto

70.5 19%

Teleop

202.5 56%

Endgame

89.5 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4481, 3707, 7717

/ 100 compat

Projected

420 pts

~2.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 4481, 3707, 7717

Auto

77.2 18%

Teleop

249.0 59%

Endgame

97.8 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.35 · Blue 2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score368.2pts

Blue projected score420pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -51.8
Score range: 299–489
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 1058 vs event baseline 385.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

687.6Season APEX730.8

70.5Auto77.2

202.5Teleop249

89.5Endgame97.8

149Consistency108

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	98	19
teleop	322	278
endgame	155	166
foul	20	0
total	595	463

Result

Final score

595 – 463

Prediction missed · off by 134.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.