Qualification · Qualification 100

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

361.13 – 301.67

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

455 – 310

Prediction correct · off by 51.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 699.7 ±9.3

7594Nautilus

Season APEX 143.3Event APEX 33.92Rank 66Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 213.01Rank 4Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4795Eastbots

Season APEX 233.1Event APEX 114.2Rank 17Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 581.9 ±10.4

3419RoHawks

Season APEX 153.4Event APEX 67.59Rank 67Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

287Floyd Robotics

Season APEX 242.6Event APEX 194.95Rank 16Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX 39.13Rank 38Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7594, 694, 4795

/ 100 compat

Projected

361.1 pts

~2.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 7594, 694, 4795

Auto

57.1 16%

Teleop

201.2 57%

Endgame

96.8 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3419, 287, 3492

/ 100 compat

Projected

301.7 pts

~1.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 3419, 287, 3492

Auto

75.0 25%

Teleop

155.8 52%

Endgame

70.3 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.96 · Blue 1.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score361.1pts

Blue projected score301.7pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 59.5
Score range: 232–431
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 765 vs event baseline 388.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

699.7Season APEX581.9

57.1Auto75

201.2Teleop155.8

96.8Endgame70.3

126Consistency117

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	95	68
teleop	230	136
endgame	115	106
foul	15	0
total	455	310

Result

Final score

455 – 310

Prediction correct · off by 51.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.