Qualification · Qualification 10
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
204.31 – 204.31
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
231 – 322
Prediction missed · off by 72.2 points
Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 585.6 ±8.8
Season APEX 268.2Event APEX -Rank 14Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 174.1Event APEX -Rank 59Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 143.3Event APEX -Rank 66Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 647.1 ±8.1
Season APEX 195.9Event APEX -Rank 46Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 299.9Event APEX -Rank 21Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 151.3Event APEX -Rank 69Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 359, 9644, 7594
50
/ 100 compatProjected
204.3 pts
~1.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 359, 9644, 7594
Auto
61.3 30%
Teleop
102.2 50%
Endgame
40.9 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5462, 4481, 2811
50
/ 100 compatProjected
204.3 pts
~1.5 RP (championship)
Teams: 5462, 4481, 2811
Auto
61.3 30%
Teleop
102.2 50%
Endgame
40.9 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.59 · Blue 1.54
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score204.3pts
Blue projected score204.3pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample278alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 10%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 130–278
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
585.6Season APEX647.1
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 70 | 83 |
| teleop | 112 | 157 |
| endgame | 39 | 82 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 231 | 322 |
Result
Final score
231 – 322
Prediction missed · off by 72.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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