Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

344.69 – 452.34

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

363 – 444

Prediction correct · off by 13.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 693.7 ±14.8

2601Steel Hawks

Season APEX 217.2Event APEX 124.47Rank 56Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3075Ha-Dream Team

Provisional

Season APEX 298.4Event APEX 124.2Rank 39Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7890SeQuEnCe

Season APEX 178.1Event APEX 96.02Rank 52Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 723 ±9.4

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 219.42Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2905Sultans of Turkiye

Season APEX 277.2Event APEX 156.31Rank 15Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 76.61Rank 60Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2601, 3075, 7890

/ 100 compat

Projected

344.7 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 2601, 3075, 7890

Auto

75.1 22%

Teleop

200.3 59%

Endgame

64.8 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7457, 2905, 6925

/ 100 compat

Projected

452.3 pts

~2.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 7457, 2905, 6925

Auto

84.4 19%

Teleop

256.9 58%

Endgame

103.6 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.14 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score344.7pts

Blue projected score452.3pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -107.6
Score range: 271–526
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 807 vs event baseline 411.7.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

693.7Season APEX723

75.1Auto84.4

200.3Teleop256.9

64.8Endgame103.6

133Consistency105

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	53
teleop	217	236
endgame	83	125
foul	0	30
total	363	444

Result

Final score

363 – 444

Prediction correct · off by 13.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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