Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

728.18 – 550.92

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

645 – 405

Prediction correct · off by 114.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 1049.9 ±9.3

4915Spartronics

Season APEX 262.8Event APEX 171.45Rank 26Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2481Roboteers

Season APEX 378Event APEX 282.78Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1678Citrus Circuits

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 273.95Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 794.8 ±8.7

686Bovine Intervention

Season APEX 254.2Event APEX 156.75Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4481Team Rembrandts

A+

Season APEX 299.9Event APEX 212.24Rank 21Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3707TechnoDogs

Season APEX 240.7Event APEX 181.93Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4915, 2481, 1678

/ 100 compat

Projected

728.2 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 4915, 2481, 1678

Auto

144.1 20%

Teleop

385.3 54%

Endgame

190.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 686, 4481, 3707

/ 100 compat

Projected

550.9 pts

~1.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 686, 4481, 3707

Auto

111.2 20%

Teleop

310.9 57%

Endgame

124.5 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.61 · Blue 0.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score728.2pts

Blue projected score550.9pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 26%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 177.3
Score range: 477–802
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1050 vs event baseline 410.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

1049.9Season APEX794.8

144.1Auto111.2

385.3Teleop310.9

190Endgame124.5

82Consistency173

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	141	142
teleop	274	194
endgame	225	69
foul	5	0
total	645	405

Result

Final score

645 – 405

Prediction correct · off by 114.5 pts

Match videos

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