FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

218.39 – 117.6

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

182 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 21.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 356 ±9.8

8767Dark Horse Robotics

Season APEX 92.3Event APEX 29.63Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

858Demons Robotics

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 92.63Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5166Fabricators

Season APEX 163.6Event APEX 96.13Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 207 ±12.1

9566Red Storm Rookies

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 15.25Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5980East Grand Rapids Robotics

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 58.49Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9208Eddies Circuit

Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 43.86Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8767, 858, 5166

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.4 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8767, 858, 5166

Auto

34.8 16%

Teleop

121.1 56%

Endgame

60.0 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9566, 5980, 9208

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9566, 5980, 9208

Auto

28.1 25%

Teleop

55.1 50%

Endgame

28.0 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.13 · Blue 1.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score218.4pts

Blue projected score117.6pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 100.8
Score range: 88–248
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 307 vs event baseline 167.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

356Season APEX207

34.8Auto28.1

121.1Teleop55.1

60Endgame28

4Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	37
teleop	88	64
endgame	67	24
foul	0	0
total	182	125

Result

Final score

182 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 21.9 pts

Match videos

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