Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
341.58 – 266.99
72%28%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
429 – 203
Prediction correct · off by 75.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 500.7 ±9.9
Season APEX 49.8Event APEX -0.14Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 253.6Event APEX 161.81Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 179.91Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 448.8 ±9.9
Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 11.59Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 123.55Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 234.4Event APEX 131.85Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10642, 7220, 10633
83
/ 100 compatProjected
341.6 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 10642, 7220, 10633
Auto
72.2 22%
Teleop
184.4 55%
Endgame
78.9 24%
Strengths
- · 10633 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9671, 4967, 2075
84
/ 100 compatProjected
267 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 9671, 4967, 2075
Auto
60.2 23%
Teleop
137.2 52%
Endgame
66.3 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.06 · Blue 1.22
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score341.6pts
Blue projected score267pts
Red win probability72%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 74.6
- Score range
- 237–372
- Upset likelihood
- 28%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
500.7Season APEX448.8
72.2Auto60.2
184.4Teleop137.2
78.9Endgame66.3
3Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 103 | 53 |
| teleop | 228 | 120 |
| endgame | 98 | 30 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 429 | 203 |
Result
Final score
429 – 203
Prediction correct · off by 75.7 pts
Match videos
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