FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

325.95 – 248.64

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

215 – 55

Prediction correct · off by 152.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 537.3 ±9.9

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 135.65Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3620Average Joes

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 169.63Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10181ProtoWarriors

Season APEX 62Event APEX 20.67Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 356 ±9.8

8767Dark Horse Robotics

Season APEX 92.3Event APEX 39.67Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

858Demons Robotics

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 102.74Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5166Fabricators

Season APEX 163.6Event APEX 106.23Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1023, 3620, 10181

/ 100 compat

Projected

326 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1023, 3620, 10181

Auto

61.1 19%

Teleop

199.5 61%

Endgame

67.4 21%

Strengths

· 3620 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8767, 858, 5166

/ 100 compat

Projected

248.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8767, 858, 5166

Auto

36.7 15%

Teleop

139.4 57%

Endgame

70.5 29%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.13 · Blue 1.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score326pts

Blue projected score248.6pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 77.3
Score range: 219–356
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 270 vs event baseline 165.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

537.3Season APEX356

61.1Auto36.7

199.5Teleop139.4

67.4Endgame70.5

38Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	25
teleop	97	19
endgame	70	6
foul	0	5
total	215	55

Result

Final score

215 – 55

Prediction correct · off by 152.3 pts

Match videos

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