FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

107.54 – 200.99

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

148 – 107

Prediction missed · off by 67.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 207 ±12.1

9566Red Storm Rookies

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 12.1Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5980East Grand Rapids Robotics

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 56.6Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9208Eddies Circuit

Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 38.84Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 292.5 ±12.7

6081Digital Dislocators

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 72.45Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9638Tigers, Bro!

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 37.72Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2771Code Red Robotics the Stray Dogs

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 90.82Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9566, 5980, 9208

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9566, 5980, 9208

Auto

26.3 26%

Teleop

43.7 44%

Endgame

29.8 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6081, 9638, 2771

/ 100 compat

Projected

201 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6081, 9638, 2771

Auto

34.4 18%

Teleop

111.5 57%

Endgame

49.7 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.09 · Blue 2.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score107.5pts

Blue projected score201pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -93.4
Score range: 78–231
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 255 vs event baseline 166.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

207Season APEX292.5

26.3Auto34.4

43.7Teleop111.5

29.8Endgame49.7

35Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	42
teleop	98	57
endgame	14	8
foul	0	0
total	148	107

Result

Final score

148 – 107

Prediction missed · off by 67.2 pts

Match videos

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