Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
270.86 – 196.55
72%28%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
233 – 213
Prediction correct · off by 27.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 448.8 ±9.9
Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 11.35Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 124.54Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 234.4Event APEX 134.97Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 292.5 ±12.7
Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 70.53Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 36.71Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 89.31Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9671, 4967, 2075
83
/ 100 compatProjected
270.9 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 9671, 4967, 2075
Auto
55.7 21%
Teleop
144.2 54%
Endgame
69.2 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6081, 9638, 2771
68
/ 100 compatProjected
196.6 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 6081, 9638, 2771
Auto
34.9 18%
Teleop
111.0 58%
Endgame
46.4 24%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.09 · Blue 1.2
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score270.9pts
Blue projected score196.6pts
Red win probability72%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 74.3
- Score range
- 167–301
- Upset likelihood
- 28%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
448.8Season APEX292.5
55.7Auto34.9
144.2Teleop111
69.2Endgame46.4
0Consistency6
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 77 | 31 |
| teleop | 94 | 110 |
| endgame | 52 | 62 |
| foul | 10 | 10 |
| total | 233 | 213 |
Result
Final score
233 – 213
Prediction correct · off by 27.2 pts
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.