FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

345.88 – 105.85

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

285 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 31.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 500.7 ±9.9

10642Comstock Colts

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX -0.44Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7220Steel Falcons

Season APEX 253.6Event APEX 164.48Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10633BeeBotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 181.84Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 207 ±12.1

9566Red Storm Rookies

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 11.63Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5980East Grand Rapids Robotics

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 56.06Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9208Eddies Circuit

Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 38.16Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10642, 7220, 10633

/ 100 compat

Projected

345.9 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10642, 7220, 10633

Auto

79.0 23%

Teleop

183.5 54%

Endgame

76.9 23%

Strengths

· 10633 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9566, 5980, 9208

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9566, 5980, 9208

Auto

25.4 24%

Teleop

46.9 45%

Endgame

31.6 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.53 · Blue 0.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score345.9pts

Blue projected score105.9pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 240
Score range: 76–376
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 389 vs event baseline 165.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

500.7Season APEX207

79Auto25.4

183.5Teleop46.9

76.9Endgame31.6

0Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	29
teleop	157	23
endgame	79	22
foul	5	30
total	285	104

Result

Final score

285 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 31.4 pts

Match videos

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