FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

259.38 – 213.2

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

229 – 238

Prediction missed · off by 27.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 448.8 ±9.9

9671Robosnacks

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 9.37Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4967That ONE Team-OurNextEngineers

Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 121.06Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2075Enigma Robotics

Season APEX 234.4Event APEX 128.95Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 356 ±9.8

8767Dark Horse Robotics

Season APEX 92.3Event APEX 27.94Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

858Demons Robotics

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 90.76Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5166Fabricators

Season APEX 163.6Event APEX 94.5Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9671, 4967, 2075

/ 100 compat

Projected

259.4 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9671, 4967, 2075

Auto

57.4 22%

Teleop

137.2 53%

Endgame

62.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8767, 858, 5166

/ 100 compat

Projected

213.2 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8767, 858, 5166

Auto

33.8 16%

Teleop

116.5 55%

Endgame

61.1 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.93 · Blue 1.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score259.4pts

Blue projected score213.2pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 46.2
Score range: 182–290
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 467 vs event baseline 170.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

448.8Season APEX356

57.4Auto33.8

137.2Teleop116.5

62.1Endgame61.1

6Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	44
teleop	136	103
endgame	35	86
foul	0	5
total	229	238

Result

Final score

229 – 238

Prediction missed · off by 27.6 pts

Match videos

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