FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

255.46 – 228.68

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

285 – 274

Prediction correct · off by 37.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 448.8 ±9.9

9671Robosnacks

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 8.34Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4967That ONE Team-OurNextEngineers

Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 119.52Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2075Enigma Robotics

Season APEX 234.4Event APEX 127.6Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 319.7 ±11.6

7656MC Hammers

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 86.19Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4325RoboRangers

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 38.18Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3875Red Storm Robotics

Season APEX 155.8Event APEX 104.31Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9671, 4967, 2075

/ 100 compat

Projected

255.5 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9671, 4967, 2075

Auto

58.6 23%

Teleop

133.9 53%

Endgame

60.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7656, 4325, 3875

/ 100 compat

Projected

228.7 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7656, 4325, 3875

Auto

35.1 15%

Teleop

140.7 62%

Endgame

52.5 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.82 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score255.5pts

Blue projected score228.7pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 26.8
Score range: 199–285
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 559 vs event baseline 167.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

448.8Season APEX319.7

58.6Auto35.1

133.9Teleop140.7

60.1Endgame52.5

2Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	37
teleop	157	140
endgame	74	77
foul	5	20
total	285	274

Result

Final score

285 – 274

Prediction correct · off by 37.4 pts

Match videos

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