FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

190.56 – 152.81

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

367 – 243

Prediction correct · off by 133.3 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 467.9 ±9.9

4325RoboRangers

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 45.71Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7220Steel Falcons

Season APEX 253.6Event APEX 31.14Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4967That ONE Team-OurNextEngineers

Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 113.71Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 290.1 ±12.4

7809FROST BYTE Robotics

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 11.43Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9549The Mechadogs

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 27.67Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10633BeeBotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 113.71Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4325, 7220, 4967

/ 100 compat

Projected

190.6 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4325, 7220, 4967

Auto

50.6 27%

Teleop

87.4 47%

Endgame

48.3 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7809, 9549, 10633

/ 100 compat

Projected

152.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7809, 9549, 10633

Auto

28.1 18%

Teleop

86.6 57%

Endgame

38.1 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2 · Blue 1.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score190.6pts

Blue projected score152.8pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 37.8
Score range: 123–221
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 610 vs event baseline 166.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

467.9Season APEX290.1

50.6Auto28.1

87.4Teleop86.6

48.3Endgame38.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	73	52
teleop	226	118
endgame	68	68
foul	0	5
total	367	243

Result

Final score

367 – 243

Prediction correct · off by 133.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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