FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

128.99 – 102.08

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

84 – 217

Prediction missed · off by 80 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 228.7 ±12.1

2771Code Red Robotics the Stray Dogs

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 66.62Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9671Robosnacks

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 18.37Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10642Comstock Colts

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 44Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 311.6 ±12.2

9206GRP Titans

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 44Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9756Robo Panthers

Season APEX 99Event APEX 18.37Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3875Red Storm Robotics

Season APEX 155.8Event APEX 39.71Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2771, 9671, 10642

/ 100 compat

Projected

129 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2771, 9671, 10642

Auto

19.7 15%

Teleop

70.9 55%

Endgame

38.4 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9206, 9756, 3875

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.1 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9206, 9756, 3875

Auto

10.2 10%

Teleop

57.3 56%

Endgame

34.6 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.69 · Blue 1.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score129pts

Blue projected score102.1pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 26.9
Score range: 72–159
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 301 vs event baseline 168.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

228.7Season APEX311.6

19.7Auto10.2

70.9Teleop57.3

38.4Endgame34.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	33
teleop	33	123
endgame	38	61
foul	0	0
total	84	217

Result

Final score

84 – 217

Prediction missed · off by 80 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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