FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 77

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

177.1 – 139.53

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

144 – 188

Prediction missed · off by 40.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 254.1 ±12.7

2771Code Red Robotics the Stray Dogs

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 90.64Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9685Crystal Oscillators

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 46.96Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9638Tigers, Bro!

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 39.5Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 266 ±11.7

11399Timber Tech

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 13.29Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4967That ONE Team-OurNextEngineers

Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 120.23Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9671Robosnacks

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 6.01Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2771, 9685, 9638

/ 100 compat

Projected

177.1 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2771, 9685, 9638

Auto

37.5 22%

Teleop

88.2 51%

Endgame

46.4 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11399, 4967, 9671

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 11399, 4967, 9671

Auto

29.2 21%

Teleop

71.1 51%

Endgame

40.2 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.78 · Blue 1.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score177.1pts

Blue projected score139.5pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 37.6
Score range: 111–206
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 332 vs event baseline 163.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

254.1Season APEX266

37.5Auto29.2

88.2Teleop71.1

46.4Endgame40.2

2Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	33
teleop	57	104
endgame	35	51
foul	15	0
total	144	188

Result

Final score

144 – 188

Prediction missed · off by 40.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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