FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

31.87 – 259.13

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

72 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 30.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 115.5 ±13.9

904D Cubed

Season APEX 18.6Event APEX -13.47Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7809FROST BYTE Robotics

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 28.66Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9206GRP Titans

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 16.68Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 409.6 ±11.1

9756Robo Panthers

Season APEX 99Event APEX 66.21Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3620Average Joes

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 169.66Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10181ProtoWarriors

Season APEX 62Event APEX 23.26Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 904, 7809, 9206

/ 100 compat

Projected

31.9 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 904, 7809, 9206

Auto

5.6 16%

Teleop

17.1 50%

Endgame

11.5 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9756, 3620, 10181

/ 100 compat

Projected

259.1 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9756, 3620, 10181

Auto

45.9 18%

Teleop

155.5 59%

Endgame

60.3 23%

Strengths

· 3620 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.58 · Blue 2.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score31.9pts

Blue projected score259.1pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -227.3
Score range: 3–288
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 311 vs event baseline 163.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

115.5Season APEX409.6

5.6Auto45.9

17.1Teleop155.5

11.5Endgame60.3

52Consistency48

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	38
teleop	35	121
endgame	19	75
foul	5	5
total	72	239

Result

Final score

72 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 30.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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