FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

176.65 – 26.11

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

246 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 47.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 381.9 ±12.4

5256Atomics

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 9.46Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7658MagiTech

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 8.32Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7220Steel Falcons

Season APEX 253.6Event APEX 158.87Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 120.5 ±13.9

3234Red Arrows

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 10.43Rank 26Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7818Williamston High School Vespidae

Season APEX 25.1Event APEX 2Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7808Kalkaska Dragoneers

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 13.68Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5256, 7658, 7220

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.7 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5256, 7658, 7220

Auto

41.5 24%

Teleop

95.6 54%

Endgame

38.5 22%

Strengths

· 7220 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3234, 7818, 7808

/ 100 compat

Projected

26.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3234, 7818, 7808

Auto

8.8 42%

Teleop

-3.6 0%

Endgame

15.9 75%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score176.7pts

Blue projected score26.1pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 150.5
Score range: -3–206
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 298 vs event baseline 163.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

381.9Season APEX120.5

41.5Auto8.8

95.6Teleop-3.6

38.5Endgame15.9

10Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	17
teleop	135	21
endgame	70	14
foul	0	0
total	246	52

Result

Final score

246 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 47.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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