Qualification · Qualification 74
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
158.37 – 310.77
13%87%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
150 – 329
Prediction correct · off by 13.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 295.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 36.05Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 15.06Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 163.6Event APEX 107.26Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 481.5 ±9.9
Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 178.91Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 49.8Event APEX -2.04Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 234.4Event APEX 133.9Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9208, 9549, 5166
64
/ 100 compatProjected
158.4 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 9208, 9549, 5166
Auto
38.8 25%
Teleop
78.1 50%
Endgame
38.3 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10633, 10642, 2075
84
/ 100 compatProjected
310.8 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 10633, 10642, 2075
Auto
71.5 23%
Teleop
154.9 51%
Endgame
79.8 26%
Strengths
- · 10633 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.92 · Blue 2.37
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score158.4pts
Blue projected score310.8pts
Red win probability13%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 60%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -152.4
- Score range
- 129–340
- Upset likelihood
- 13%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
295.2Season APEX481.5
38.8Auto71.5
78.1Teleop154.9
38.3Endgame79.8
16Consistency6
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 18 | 54 |
| teleop | 97 | 177 |
| endgame | 35 | 83 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 150 | 329 |
Result
Final score
150 – 329
Prediction correct · off by 13.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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