Qualification · Qualification 73
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
170.34 – 61.4
80%20%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
179 – 107
Prediction correct · off by 27.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 263.6 ±12.2
Season APEX 155.8Event APEX 115.78Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 4.33Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 50.23Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 232.9 ±13.3
Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 10.6Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 65.99Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 71.8Event APEX -15.19Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3875, 7256, 4325
62
/ 100 compatProjected
170.3 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 3875, 7256, 4325
Auto
33.3 20%
Teleop
100.8 60%
Endgame
34.3 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7221, 6081, 10664
33
/ 100 compatProjected
61.4 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 7221, 6081, 10664
Auto
25.2 41%
Teleop
21.1 35%
Endgame
14.8 24%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.29 · Blue 1.02
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score170.3pts
Blue projected score61.4pts
Red win probability80%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 64%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 108.9
- Score range
- 32–199
- Upset likelihood
- 20%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
263.6Season APEX232.9
33.3Auto25.2
100.8Teleop21.1
34.3Endgame14.8
16Consistency35
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 32 | 14 |
| teleop | 114 | 67 |
| endgame | 33 | 26 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 179 | 107 |
Result
Final score
179 – 107
Prediction correct · off by 27.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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