FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

111.5 – 212.53

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

107 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 29 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 240.1 ±11.6

9756Robo Panthers

Season APEX 99Event APEX 68.37Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8767Dark Horse Robotics

Season APEX 92.3Event APEX 30.08Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9566Red Storm Rookies

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 13.05Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 263.1 ±11.7

4967That ONE Team-OurNextEngineers

Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 126.5Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5980East Grand Rapids Robotics

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 62Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8285Bionic Bulldogs

Season APEX 33Event APEX 24.03Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9756, 8767, 9566

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9756, 8767, 9566

Auto

17.2 16%

Teleop

65.0 59%

Endgame

28.7 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4967, 5980, 8285

/ 100 compat

Projected

212.5 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4967, 5980, 8285

Auto

34.9 17%

Teleop

127.7 61%

Endgame

46.1 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.98 · Blue 2.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score111.5pts

Blue projected score212.5pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -101
Score range: 83–242
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 266 vs event baseline 163.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

240.1Season APEX263.1

17.2Auto34.9

65Teleop127.7

28.7Endgame46.1

9Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	20
teleop	55	68
endgame	25	71
foul	5	0
total	107	159

Result

Final score

107 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 29 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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