FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

67.14 – 111.23

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

72 – 82

Prediction correct · off by 17 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 124.4 ±13.9

7818Williamston High School Vespidae

Season APEX 25.1Event APEX 1.27Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7809FROST BYTE Robotics

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 28.66Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7289Blue Eagles

Season APEX 59.2Event APEX 37.21Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 166.5 ±12.8

3234Red Arrows

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 12.45Rank 26Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

904D Cubed

Season APEX 18.6Event APEX -10.09Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

858Demons Robotics

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 108.87Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7818, 7809, 7289

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.1 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7818, 7809, 7289

Auto

17.5 28%

Teleop

13.3 21%

Endgame

31.5 51%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3234, 904, 858

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.2 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3234, 904, 858

Auto

36.7 34%

Teleop

43.0 39%

Endgame

29.6 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.22 · Blue 1.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score67.1pts

Blue projected score111.2pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -44.1
Score range: 37–141
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 154 vs event baseline 164.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

124.4Season APEX166.5

17.5Auto36.7

13.3Teleop43

31.5Endgame29.6

34Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	15
teleop	30	31
endgame	19	36
foul	0	0
total	72	82

Result

Final score

72 – 82

Prediction correct · off by 17 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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