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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

120.34126.99

48%52%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

114164

Prediction correct · off by 21.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 218.2 ±13.3
Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 41.75Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 64.09Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 14.5Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 266.4 ±12.7
Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 88.81Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 32.74Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 5.44Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9638, 8423, 7808
48
/ 100 compat
Projected
120.3 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 9638, 8423, 7808
Auto
13.6 12%
Teleop
61.4 52%
Endgame
42.0 36%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2771, 9208, 5256
52
/ 100 compat
Projected
127 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 2771, 9208, 5256
Auto
21.9 17%
Teleop
74.7 58%
Endgame
31.5 25%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.51 · Blue 1.7
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score120.3pts
Blue projected score127pts
Red win probability48%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 62%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-6.6
Score range
90157
Upset likelihood
48%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 278 vs event baseline 164.6.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

218.2Season APEX266.4
13.6Auto21.9
61.4Teleop74.7
42Endgame31.5
30Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto2423
teleop6570
endgame2071
foul50
total114164

Result

Final score

114164

Prediction correct · off by 21.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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