Qualification · Qualification 70
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
120.34 – 126.99
48%52%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
114 – 164
Prediction correct · off by 21.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 218.2 ±13.3
Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 41.75Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 64.09Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 14.5Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 266.4 ±12.7
Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 88.81Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 32.74Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 5.44Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9638, 8423, 7808
48
/ 100 compatProjected
120.3 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 9638, 8423, 7808
Auto
13.6 12%
Teleop
61.4 52%
Endgame
42.0 36%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2771, 9208, 5256
52
/ 100 compatProjected
127 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 2771, 9208, 5256
Auto
21.9 17%
Teleop
74.7 58%
Endgame
31.5 25%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.51 · Blue 1.7
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score120.3pts
Blue projected score127pts
Red win probability48%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 62%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -6.6
- Score range
- 90–157
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
218.2Season APEX266.4
13.6Auto21.9
61.4Teleop74.7
42Endgame31.5
30Consistency13
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 24 | 23 |
| teleop | 65 | 70 |
| endgame | 20 | 71 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 114 | 164 |
Result
Final score
114 – 164
Prediction correct · off by 21.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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