FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

141.45 – 130.29

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

347 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 139.9 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 484.4 ±10.7

5166Fabricators

Season APEX 163.6Event APEX -Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5256Atomics

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX -Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3620Average Joes

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 87.14Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 196.5 ±13.3

8423Next Express

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX -Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7256Irish Robotics

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 87.14Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7658MagiTech

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 16Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5166, 5256, 3620

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5166, 5256, 3620

Auto

30.6 22%

Teleop

77.4 55%

Endgame

33.4 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8423, 7256, 7658

/ 100 compat

Projected

130.3 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8423, 7256, 7658

Auto

28.1 22%

Teleop

71.6 55%

Endgame

30.6 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.72 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score141.4pts

Blue projected score130.3pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 11.2
Score range: 101–170
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 403 vs event baseline 162.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

484.4Season APEX196.5

14.3Auto20

50.3Teleop58

22.6Endgame25.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	16
teleop	216	27
endgame	90	13
foul	0	0
total	347	56

Result

Final score

347 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 139.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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