FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

169.61 – 139.85

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

175 – 137

Prediction correct · off by 4.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 355 ±11.7

10642Comstock Colts

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX -2.87Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11399Timber Tech

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 13.96Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7220Steel Falcons

Season APEX 253.6Event APEX 158.52Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 281.7 ±11.7

5166Fabricators

Season APEX 163.6Event APEX 107.51Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10181ProtoWarriors

Season APEX 62Event APEX 24.37Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7658MagiTech

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 7.97Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10642, 11399, 7220

/ 100 compat

Projected

169.6 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10642, 11399, 7220

Auto

42.3 25%

Teleop

86.8 52%

Endgame

38.3 23%

Strengths

· 7220 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5166, 10181, 7658

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5166, 10181, 7658

Auto

24.2 18%

Teleop

79.8 58%

Endgame

34.1 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.77 · Blue 1.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score169.6pts

Blue projected score139.9pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 29.8
Score range: 110–200
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 312 vs event baseline 164.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

355Season APEX281.7

42.3Auto24.2

86.8Teleop79.8

38.3Endgame34.1

5Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	25
teleop	107	68
endgame	38	44
foul	0	0
total	175	137

Result

Final score

175 – 137

Prediction correct · off by 4.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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