Qualification · Qualification 68
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
326.09 – 222.67
78%22%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
346 – 259
Prediction correct · off by 28.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 457 ±10.7
Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 176.91Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 33Event APEX 21.93Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 127.25Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 322.8 ±11.6
Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 62.45Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 155.8Event APEX 113.93Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 46.29Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10633, 8285, 1023
82
/ 100 compatProjected
326.1 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 10633, 8285, 1023
Auto
66.8 21%
Teleop
189.8 59%
Endgame
65.4 20%
Strengths
- · 10633 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6081, 3875, 9685
79
/ 100 compatProjected
222.7 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 6081, 3875, 9685
Auto
59.7 27%
Teleop
105.2 48%
Endgame
54.9 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.23 · Blue 1.1
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score326.1pts
Blue projected score222.7pts
Red win probability78%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 60%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 103.4
- Score range
- 194–355
- Upset likelihood
- 22%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
457Season APEX322.8
66.8Auto59.7
189.8Teleop105.2
65.4Endgame54.9
32Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 63 | 60 |
| teleop | 196 | 128 |
| endgame | 87 | 71 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 346 | 259 |
Result
Final score
346 – 259
Prediction correct · off by 28.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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