FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

132.35 – 236.85

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

160 – 259

Prediction correct · off by 24.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 235.7 ±12.7

10664Big Reds

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX -18.5Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4325RoboRangers

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 47.99Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7656MC Hammers

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 102.86Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 386.3 ±11.7

5980East Grand Rapids Robotics

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 59.78Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7221Viking Robotics

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 8.04Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3620Average Joes

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 169.03Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10664, 4325, 7656

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10664, 4325, 7656

Auto

25.8 20%

Teleop

70.1 54%

Endgame

35.1 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5980, 7221, 3620

/ 100 compat

Projected

236.9 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5980, 7221, 3620

Auto

43.7 19%

Teleop

135.7 58%

Endgame

56.0 24%

Strengths

· 3620 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.05 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score132.4pts

Blue projected score236.9pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -104.5
Score range: 103–266
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 419 vs event baseline 162.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

235.7Season APEX386.3

25.8Auto43.7

70.1Teleop135.7

35.1Endgame56

35Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	37
teleop	92	173
endgame	51	49
foul	0	0
total	160	259

Result

Final score

160 – 259

Prediction correct · off by 24.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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