Qualification · Qualification 66
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
38.34 – 137.86
22%78%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
35 – 193
Prediction correct · off by 29.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 173.1 ±13.3
Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 13.63Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 16.37Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 8.34Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 327.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 44.3Event APEX -0.37Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 8.67Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 234.4Event APEX 129.56Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9549, 9206, 9671
25
/ 100 compatProjected
38.3 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 9549, 9206, 9671
Auto
2.1 6%
Teleop
18.7 50%
Endgame
16.9 45%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7256, 9566, 2075
57
/ 100 compatProjected
137.9 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 7256, 9566, 2075
Auto
34.9 26%
Teleop
59.7 45%
Endgame
38.8 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.98 · Blue 2.17
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score38.3pts
Blue projected score137.9pts
Red win probability22%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 50%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -99.5
- Score range
- 9–167
- Upset likelihood
- 22%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
173.1Season APEX327.5
2.1Auto34.9
18.7Teleop59.7
16.9Endgame38.8
16Consistency19
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 14 | 32 |
| teleop | 21 | 118 |
| endgame | 0 | 43 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 35 | 193 |
Result
Final score
35 – 193
Prediction correct · off by 29.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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