FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

101.31 – 76.76

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

74 – 80

Prediction missed · off by 15.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 213.5 ±12.2

7289Blue Eagles

Season APEX 59.2Event APEX 40.87Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8767Dark Horse Robotics

Season APEX 92.3Event APEX 32.68Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10181ProtoWarriors

Season APEX 62Event APEX 27.76Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 196.3 ±13.3

7818Williamston High School Vespidae

Season APEX 25.1Event APEX 1.18Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5256Atomics

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 6.54Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9756Robo Panthers

Season APEX 99Event APEX 69.04Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7289, 8767, 10181

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7289, 8767, 10181

Auto

21.1 21%

Teleop

48.6 49%

Endgame

29.2 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7818, 5256, 9756

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 7818, 5256, 9756

Auto

14.2 19%

Teleop

39.5 52%

Endgame

22.9 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.66 · Blue 1.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score101.3pts

Blue projected score76.8pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 24.5
Score range: 47–131
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 154 vs event baseline 164.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

213.5Season APEX196.3

21.1Auto14.2

48.6Teleop39.5

29.2Endgame22.9

47Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	20
teleop	28	33
endgame	30	27
foul	0	0
total	74	80

Result

Final score

74 – 80

Prediction missed · off by 15.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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