FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

206.72 – 61.96

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

123 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 51.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 314.1 ±11.7

6081Digital Dislocators

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 69.89Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3234Red Arrows

Season APEX 47.8Event APEX 21.44Rank 26Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5166Fabricators

Season APEX 163.6Event APEX 115.39Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 139.3 ±13.9

11399Timber Tech

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 14.65Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7809FROST BYTE Robotics

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 31.13Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7808Kalkaska Dragoneers

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 16.18Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6081, 3234, 5166

/ 100 compat

Projected

206.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6081, 3234, 5166

Auto

50.5 25%

Teleop

111.6 55%

Endgame

39.9 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11399, 7809, 7808

/ 100 compat

Projected

62 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11399, 7809, 7808

Auto

-6.9 0%

Teleop

26.5 42%

Endgame

43.3 69%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.34 · Blue 0.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score206.7pts

Blue projected score62pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 144.8
Score range: 32–237
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 165 vs event baseline 165.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

314.1Season APEX139.3

50.5Auto-6.9

111.6Teleop26.5

39.9Endgame43.3

4Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	20
teleop	53	16
endgame	35	6
foul	0	0
total	123	42

Result

Final score

123 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 51.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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