FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

398.35 – 136.87

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

330 – 255

Prediction correct · off by 93.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 468.4 ±10.5

3875Red Storm Robotics

Season APEX 155.8Event APEX 120.17Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2771Code Red Robotics the Stray Dogs

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 94.29Rank 9Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10633BeeBotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 183.89Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 235.8 ±12.7

5980East Grand Rapids Robotics

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 49.45Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7658MagiTech

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX -2.97Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7656MC Hammers

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 90.39Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3875, 2771, 10633

/ 100 compat

Projected

398.4 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3875, 2771, 10633

Auto

61.0 15%

Teleop

231.0 59%

Endgame

101.7 26%

Strengths

· 10633 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5980, 7658, 7656

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5980, 7658, 7656

Auto

27.6 20%

Teleop

80.0 58%

Endgame

30.7 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.66 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score398.4pts

Blue projected score136.9pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 261.5
Score range: 108–427
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 585 vs event baseline 163.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

468.4Season APEX235.8

61Auto27.6

231Teleop80

101.7Endgame30.7

7Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	75	18
teleop	210	149
endgame	45	73
foul	0	15
total	330	255

Result

Final score

330 – 255

Prediction correct · off by 93.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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