FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

177.68 – 26.35

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

317 – 29

Prediction correct · off by 71 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 380.8 ±12.4

9549The Mechadogs

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX -0.2Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7220Steel Falcons

Season APEX 253.6Event APEX 145.26Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9638Tigers, Bro!

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 32.62Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 110 ±13.9

8285Bionic Bulldogs

Season APEX 33Event APEX 19.79Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

904D Cubed

Season APEX 18.6Event APEX -4.29Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7221Viking Robotics

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 10.85Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9549, 7220, 9638

/ 100 compat

Projected

177.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9549, 7220, 9638

Auto

49.4 28%

Teleop

101.2 57%

Endgame

25.9 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8285, 904, 7221

/ 100 compat

Projected

26.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8285, 904, 7221

Auto

13.8 60%

Teleop

6.7 29%

Endgame

2.5 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.34 · Blue 0.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score177.7pts

Blue projected score26.4pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 151.3
Score range: -3–207
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 346 vs event baseline 163.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

380.8Season APEX110

49.4Auto13.8

101.2Teleop6.7

25.9Endgame2.5

14Consistency69

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	14
teleop	169	4
endgame	85	11
foul	15	0
total	317	29

Result

Final score

317 – 29

Prediction correct · off by 71 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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