Qualification · Qualification 61
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
183.14 – 62.34
82%18%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
258 – 27
Prediction correct · off by 55.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 394.1 ±11.1
Season APEX 234.4Event APEX 121.32Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 0.86Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 60.96Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 162.1 ±12.1
Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 7.44Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 55.41Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 49.8Event APEX -0.51Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2075, 9671, 8423
67
/ 100 compatProjected
183.1 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 2075, 9671, 8423
Auto
37.5 20%
Teleop
99.1 53%
Endgame
50.1 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9566, 4325, 10642
23
/ 100 compatProjected
62.3 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 9566, 4325, 10642
Auto
22.0 38%
Teleop
9.0 15%
Endgame
27.4 47%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.21 · Blue 0.89
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score183.1pts
Blue projected score62.3pts
Red win probability82%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 50%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 120.8
- Score range
- 33–212
- Upset likelihood
- 18%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
394.1Season APEX162.1
37.5Auto22
99.1Teleop9
50.1Endgame27.4
0Consistency13
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 31 | 17 |
| teleop | 134 | 5 |
| endgame | 78 | 5 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 258 | 27 |
Result
Final score
258 – 27
Prediction correct · off by 55.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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