Qualification · Qualification 60
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
332.17 – 90.54
95%5%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
333 – 176
Prediction correct · off by 43.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 478.3 ±9.9
Season APEX 150.8Event APEX 125.86Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 172.73Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 33.58Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 342.8 ±12.4
Season APEX 44.3Event APEX -5.64Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 71.8Event APEX -25.42Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 121.6Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4967, 3620, 9208
84
/ 100 compatProjected
332.2 pts
~2.7 RP (district)
Teams: 4967, 3620, 9208
Auto
64.0 19%
Teleop
186.1 56%
Endgame
82.5 25%
Strengths
- · 3620 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7256, 10664, 1023
44
/ 100 compatProjected
90.5 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 7256, 10664, 1023
Auto
27.9 32%
Teleop
47.6 54%
Endgame
12.4 14%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.67 · Blue 0.74
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score332.2pts
Blue projected score90.5pts
Red win probability95%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 69%, blue 59%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 241.6
- Score range
- 62–361
- Upset likelihood
- 5%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
478.3Season APEX342.8
64Auto27.9
186.1Teleop47.6
82.5Endgame12.4
75Consistency49
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 78 | 34 |
| teleop | 187 | 120 |
| endgame | 68 | 22 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 333 | 176 |
Result
Final score
333 – 176
Prediction correct · off by 43.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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