FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

76.62 – 181.38

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

151 – 217

Prediction correct · off by 55 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 170.1 ±12.7

6081Digital Dislocators

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 66.54Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

904D Cubed

Season APEX 18.6Event APEX -7.19Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9566Red Storm Rookies

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 17.27Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 337.5 ±12.4

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 124.36Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7289Blue Eagles

Season APEX 59.2Event APEX 34.15Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11399Timber Tech

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 22.87Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6081, 904, 9566

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6081, 904, 9566

Auto

34.7 47%

Teleop

20.9 28%

Endgame

18.9 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1023, 7289, 11399

/ 100 compat

Projected

181.4 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1023, 7289, 11399

Auto

39.6 22%

Teleop

100.3 55%

Endgame

41.7 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.96 · Blue 2.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score76.6pts

Blue projected score181.4pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -104.8
Score range: 46–212
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 368 vs event baseline 172.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

170.1Season APEX337.5

34.7Auto39.6

20.9Teleop100.3

18.9Endgame41.7

69Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	33
teleop	56	97
endgame	51	87
foul	5	0
total	151	217

Result

Final score

151 – 217

Prediction correct · off by 55 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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