FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

299.51 – 156.5

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

385 – 121

Prediction correct · off by 60.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 362 ±11.1

9685Crystal Oscillators

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 38.98Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7656MC Hammers

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 83.31Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10633BeeBotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 177.22Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 204.5 ±12.8

7808Kalkaska Dragoneers

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 20.69Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9206GRP Titans

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 21.01Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

858Demons Robotics

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 114.8Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9685, 7656, 10633

/ 100 compat

Projected

299.5 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9685, 7656, 10633

Auto

72.1 25%

Teleop

148.9 51%

Endgame

71.3 24%

Strengths

· 10633 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7808, 9206, 858

/ 100 compat

Projected

156.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7808, 9206, 858

Auto

12.8 8%

Teleop

82.6 53%

Endgame

60.3 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.35 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score299.5pts

Blue projected score156.5pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 143
Score range: 128–329
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 506 vs event baseline 160.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

362Season APEX204.5

72.1Auto12.8

148.9Teleop82.6

71.3Endgame60.3

16Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	96	22
teleop	179	56
endgame	110	43
foul	0	0
total	385	121

Result

Final score

385 – 121

Prediction correct · off by 60.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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