FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

231.68 – 109.22

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

245 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 13.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 383 ±10.5

3875Red Storm Robotics

Season APEX 155.8Event APEX 119.55Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5166Fabricators

Season APEX 163.6Event APEX 112.46Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9671Robosnacks

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX -0.33Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 208 ±13.3

9549The Mechadogs

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 2.38Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7289Blue Eagles

Season APEX 59.2Event APEX 43.83Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8423Next Express

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 63.01Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3875, 5166, 9671

/ 100 compat

Projected

231.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3875, 5166, 9671

Auto

41.0 18%

Teleop

141.4 62%

Endgame

47.1 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9549, 7289, 8423

/ 100 compat

Projected

109.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9549, 7289, 8423

Auto

28.8 27%

Teleop

48.5 45%

Endgame

29.8 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.25 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score231.7pts

Blue projected score109.2pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 122.5
Score range: 80–261
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 340 vs event baseline 159.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

383Season APEX208

41Auto28.8

141.4Teleop48.5

47.1Endgame29.8

6Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	25
teleop	144	35
endgame	62	35
foul	0	0
total	245	95

Result

Final score

245 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 13.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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