Qualification · Qualification 56
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
89.16 – 79.92
53%47%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
125 – 107
Prediction correct · off by 31.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 222.2 ±12.7
Season APEX 99Event APEX 66.62Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 29.36Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 44.3Event APEX -6.82Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 211.9 ±12.2
Season APEX 56.1Event APEX -3.81Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 92.3Event APEX 30.07Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 53.66Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9756, 9208, 7256
45
/ 100 compatProjected
89.2 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 9756, 9208, 7256
Auto
27.9 32%
Teleop
40.9 47%
Endgame
18.2 21%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7658, 8767, 4325
44
/ 100 compatProjected
79.9 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 7658, 8767, 4325
Auto
20.5 26%
Teleop
41.0 52%
Endgame
16.7 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.76 · Blue 1.52
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score89.2pts
Blue projected score79.9pts
Red win probability53%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 65%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 9.2
- Score range
- 51–118
- Upset likelihood
- 47%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
222.2Season APEX211.9
27.9Auto20.5
40.9Teleop41
18.2Endgame16.7
47Consistency20
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 28 | 18 |
| teleop | 69 | 57 |
| endgame | 28 | 32 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 125 | 107 |
Result
Final score
125 – 107
Prediction correct · off by 31.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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