FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

164.13 – 37.43

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

217 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 40.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 347.8 ±11.7

9685Crystal Oscillators

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 33.32Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 114.49Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9206GRP Titans

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 16.32Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 186.4 ±13.9

9638Tigers, Bro!

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 29.93Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10664Big Reds

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX -27Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7809FROST BYTE Robotics

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 34.5Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9685, 1023, 9206

/ 100 compat

Projected

164.1 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9685, 1023, 9206

Auto

39.9 24%

Teleop

78.7 48%

Endgame

44.8 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9638, 10664, 7809

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9638, 10664, 7809

Auto

7.2 19%

Teleop

17.5 47%

Endgame

12.7 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.26 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score164.1pts

Blue projected score37.4pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 126.7
Score range: 8–193
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 282 vs event baseline 160.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

347.8Season APEX186.4

39.9Auto7.2

78.7Teleop17.5

44.8Endgame12.7

35Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	11
teleop	148	32
endgame	35	22
foul	0	0
total	217	65

Result

Final score

217 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 40.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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