Qualification · Qualification 54
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
344.41 – 50.97
97%3%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
191 – 18
Prediction correct · off by 93.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 397.5 ±10.5
Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 21.75Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 132.38Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 190.28Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 184 ±12.7
Season APEX 62Event APEX 30.79Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 5.04Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 15.14Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9566, 858, 3620
84
/ 100 compatProjected
344.4 pts
~2.6 RP (district)
Teams: 9566, 858, 3620
Auto
65.2 19%
Teleop
186.6 54%
Endgame
93.9 27%
Strengths
- · 3620 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10181, 10642, 5256
27
/ 100 compatProjected
51 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 10181, 10642, 5256
Auto
11.6 22%
Teleop
16.1 31%
Endgame
24.3 47%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.56 · Blue 0.55
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score344.4pts
Blue projected score51pts
Red win probability97%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 293.4
- Score range
- 22–373
- Upset likelihood
- 3%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
397.5Season APEX184
65.2Auto11.6
186.6Teleop16.1
93.9Endgame24.3
49Consistency33
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 27 | 7 |
| teleop | 86 | 8 |
| endgame | 68 | 3 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 191 | 18 |
Result
Final score
191 – 18
Prediction correct · off by 93.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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