FIM District Kentwood Event presented by Dematic

Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

96.25 – 0

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

121 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 32.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 237 ±12.2

7656MC Hammers

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 81.41Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8767Dark Horse Robotics

Season APEX 92.3Event APEX 26.03Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7256Irish Robotics

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX -11.19Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 127.4 ±13.9

9549The Mechadogs

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX -6.67Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7658MagiTech

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX -14.08Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

904D Cubed

Season APEX 18.6Event APEX -1.35Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7656, 8767, 7256

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.3 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7656, 8767, 7256

Auto

18.2 20%

Teleop

50.4 56%

Endgame

21.3 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9549, 7658, 904

/ 100 compat

Projected

-22.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9549, 7658, 904

Auto

18.0 0%

Teleop

-27.7 100%

Endgame

-11.5 54%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.24 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score96.3pts

Blue projected score-22.1pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 96.3
Score range: -29–125
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 162 vs event baseline 162.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

237Season APEX127.4

18.2Auto18

50.4Teleop-27.7

21.3Endgame-11.5

0Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	8
teleop	80	16
endgame	14	12
foul	0	5
total	121	41

Result

Final score

121 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 32.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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